Constrained Probabilistic Search for a One-Dimensional Random Walker

Date of Submission: 
December 21, 2015
Report Number: 
15-021
Report PDF: 
Abstract: 

This paper addresses a fundamental search problem in which a searcher subject to time and energy constraints tries to find a mobile target. The target's motion is modeled as a random walk on a discrete set of points on the line: at each time step the target chooses one of the adjacent nodes at random and moves there. We study two detection models. In the no-crossing model, the searcher detects the target if they are on the same node or if they take the same edge at the same time. In the crossing model, detection happens only if they land on the same node at the same time.

For the no-crossing model, where move and stay actions may have different costs, we present an optimal search strategy under energy and time constraints. For the crossing model, we formulate the problem of designing an optimal strategy as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) and solve it using methods which reduce the state space representation of the belief. The POMDP solution reveals structural properties of the optimal solution. We use this structure to design an efficient strategy and analytically study its performance.

Finally, we present preliminary experimental results to demonstrate the applicability of our model to our tracking system which is used for finding radio-tagged invasive fish.